Global Economy: Latest news

Paris, 25 April 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Weaknesses still evident ...
Brazil: Interest rates cut further ...
Bahrain: Continuing sectarian tensions ...
Kuwait: Oil wealth ...
Argentina: YPF nationalisation ...
Philippines: Monetary policy on hold ...
Belarus: Crisis update ...

Euler Hermes World Risk Map

Country Ratings on your smartphone

Paris, 18 April 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

China: Q1 GDP growth ...
USA: Retail sales and housing ...
South Korea: Election result ...
Singapore: Q1 GDP growth and monetary policy ...
India: Policy shift? ...
Costa Rica: Policy setback ...
Guinea-Bissau: Coup ...
Croatia: Stagnation ...

Paris, 11 April 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Germany: Weak indicators in February ...
China: Trade and inflation ...
USA: Weaker labour market ...
Malawi: New president ...
Brazil: Supporting growth ...
South Korea: Mixed Q1 data ...
Bosnia and Herzegovina: Weakening prospects ...

Paris, 4 April 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Mexico: Election campaign ...
Zambia: New policy ...
Vietnam: Q1 GDP growth weakens ...
Germany: Domino effect ...
Turkey: Slowdown ...
Ukraine: Risk update ...

Hamburg, 29 March 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Mixed news ...
Egypt: Constitution ...
Colombia: Growth and interest rates ...
Hong Kong: CEO elections ...
Hungary: Poor growth prospects ...

Paris 27 March 2012

Country Risk Level

Changes in the country grades of 8 countries

Austria: Down to "MEDIUM" from "LOW"
Belgium: Down to "MEDIUM" from "LOW"
Bulgaria: Down to "MEDIUM" from "LOW"
Croatia: Down to "HIGH" from "SENSITIVE"
Hungary: Down to "HIGH" from "SENSITIVE"
Malta: Down to "MEDIUM" from "LOW"
Netherlands: Down to "MEDIUM" from "LOW"
Sweden: Down to "MEDIUM" from "LOW"

Hamburg, 21 March 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Weak data but positive sentiment ...
Switzerland: Better than expected Q4 2011 ...
India: Federal budget and inflation ...
Cyprus: Difficult times ...
Mexico: Interest rates ...
Malaysia: Robust domestic demand in 2011 ...
Ukraine: Pressing financial needs ...

Hamburg, 14 March 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Strong retail sales ...
China: Inflation, trade and growth ...
Poland: Robust growth in 2011 ...
Bahrain: Protests ...
Brazil: Interest rates ...
India: Monetary easing ...
Slovakia: Election result ...

Hamburg, 7 March 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Germany: Slight dip in Q4 2011 growth ...
USA: Q4 2011 GDP growth revised upwards ...
Russia: Presidential election result ...
Uganda: Rate cut ...
Brazil: Sixth largest economy ...
Philippines: Further monetary easing ...
Slovenia: Clearly in recession ...

Hamburg, 29 February 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

India: Further evidence of slowdown ...
USA: Mixed data ...
South Africa: GDP growth to slow ...
Senegal: Elections ...
Haiti: PM resignation ...
Thailand: Flood toll on growth ...
Kazakhstan: Oil-supported 2011 growth ...

Hamburg, 29 February 2012

Hungary: Downgraded from Sensitive Risk to High Risk

Hamburg, 22 February 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Greece: Relief? ...
Austria: Large austerity package ...
Yemen: New president ...
Mexico: Opinion polls ...
India: Consumer price inflation ...
Bulgaria: Q4 2011 GDP ...

Hamburg, 15 February 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Germany: Record highs in foreign trade ...
China: Inflation and trade ...
USA: Sales and job market ...
Turkey: Update ...
Venezuela: Presidential election ...
Japan: Reconstruction yet to boost growth ...
Estonia: Recovery loses steam ...

Hamburg, 8 February 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Labour market gains ...
Hong Kong: Q4 GDP growth slows ...
Egypt: Stuttering transition ...
Cyprus: Bank impact ...
Argentina: Import measures ...
Indonesia: Sustained growth ...
Romania: Government falls ...

Hamburg, 1 February 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Q4 growth, the Fed and employment ...
Germany: Differing growth indicators ...
Taiwan: Second quarterly GDP contraction ...
South Korea: Q4 GDP growth maintained ...
Ghana: Oil shortfall ...
Uruguay: Well placed? ...
Papua New Guinea: Political tensions ...
Lithuania: Recovery loses momentum ...

Hamburg, 25 January 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook


USA: Employment and housing pick up ...
Brazil: Interest rates cut again ...
India: Policy shift? ...
Morocco: Growth outlook ...
South Africa: Inflation ...
Mexico: Monetary policy on hold ...
Philippines: Monetary policy easing ...
Kazakhstan: Default of third-largest bank ...

Hamburg, 18 January 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Sentiment improving ...
China: Moderate slowdown ...
Egypt: Return to the IMF ...
Tunisia: Recovery? ...
Chile: Early interest rate cut ...
Singapore: Q4 2011 GDP ...
Croatia: On course for EU accession ...

Hamburg, 12 January 2012: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Labour market optimism ...
China: Slowdown ...
Hungary: Country risk ...
Nigeria: Goodluck ...
Jamaica: Election results and new government ...
Iran: Oil market reactions ...
Serbia: Economic update ...

Hamburg, 21 December 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Labour and housing market data ...
Germany: Growth indicators ...
North Korea: Death of Kim Jong-il ...
Nigeria: 2012 budget ...
Jamaica: General elections ...
Taiwan: Presidential and legislative elections ...
Kazakhstan: Public protests ...

Hamburg 16 December 2011: Changes in Country Ratings

Slovenia:
Country Risk Level: Downgrade from Low to Medium

Czech Rep.:
Country Risk Level: Downgrade from Low to Medium

Hamburg 12 December 2011: Changes in Country Ratings

Philippines:
Country Grade: Downgrade from B to C
Country Risk Level: Downgrade from Low to Sensitive

Greece:
Country Risk Level: Downgrade from Sensitive to High

Turkey:
Country Risk Level: Upgrade from High to Sensitive

Hamburg, 14 December 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Retail sector still supportive of growth ...
China: Inflation and trade ...
Turkey: Q3 GDP growth ...
Congo, DR: Elections ...
Peru: Government changes ...
India: Policy stance to change? ...
Czech Republic: Growth slows further in Q3 ...

Hamburg, 7 December 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Mixed employment data ...
China: Policy shift? ...
Russia: Duma election result ...
Brazil: Q3 slowdown reinforces policy loosening ...
Syria: Update ...
Slovenia: Election result and Q3 GDP ...

Hamburg, 30 November 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Hungary: Interest rate rise, currency weakens ...
India: Reforms prove difficult ...
Egypt: Elections ...
Morocco: Elections ...
South Africa: Weakening ...
Brazil: Further interest rate cut? ...
Philippines: Weak Q3 GDP growth ...
Poland: Robust growth ...

Hamburg, 23 November 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: GDP growth revision and Super Committee ...
Thailand: Q3 growth picks up, weak Q4 outlook ...
Egypt: Uneasy transition ...
Argentina: FX curbs post-election ...
Malaysia: Strong Q3 GDP growth ...
Hungary: Surprising U-turn on IMF funding ...

Hamburg, 16 November 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Retail sales therapy ...
China: Inflation, activity indicators and trade ...
Hungary: Q3 GDP growth and country risk ...
South Africa: ANC action ...
Venezuela: Opposition primaries ...
Hong Kong: Recession avoided ...
Bulgaria: Q3 GDP growth moderates ...

Hamburg, 9 November 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Limited relief ...
Thailand: Floods ...
Kenya: Monetary policy ...
Guatemala: Election results ...
Nicaragua: Election results ...
Indonesia: Strong Q3 GDP growth ...
Romania: Monetary policy and inflation outlook ...

Hamburg, 2 November 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Higher growth in Q3 masks weakness ...
Turkey: Monetary policy shift ...
Cameroon: Elections ...
Guatemala: Presidential election run-off ...
Pakistan: IMF facility expires ...
Lithuania: Robust Q3 GDP growth ...

Hamburg, 27 October 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Economic data ...
Libya: Transition consolidated ...
Tunisia: Elections ...
Argentina: Election results ...
South Korea: Swap arrangements ...
Japan: Swap arrangements ...
Belarus: Update ...

Hamburg, 19 October 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

China: Q3 GDP and inflation ...
USA: Economic data ...
Singapore: Q3 GDP ...
India: Weaker outlook ...
South Africa: Economy ...
Argentina: Elections ...
Jordan: New government ...
Ukraine: Economic update ...

Hamburg, 12 October 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

UK: Quantitative easing ...
Poland: Election result ...
Saudi Arabia: Regional clashes ...
Egypt: FX depletion ...
Mexico: Update ...
Indonesia: Monetary policy ...
Serbia: Economic update ...

Hamburg, 5 October 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Weak consumer spending ...
India: Growth slowing ...
Nicaragua: Elections ...
Vietnam: GDP first nine months ...
Croatia: Update ...

Hamburg, 28 September 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Operation Twist ...
Russia: Leadership swap plan ...
Slovenia: Government collapse ...
Morocco: Update ...
Saudi Arabia: Enfranchisement ...
Poland: FX market intervention ...

Hamburg, 21 September 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Inflationary pressures ...
India: Further monetary tightening ...
Russia: Q2 GDP growth decelerates ...
Zambia: Elections ...
Colombia: Local elections ...
South Korea: Growth slowdown in Q2 ...
Latvia: Parliamentary election result ...

Hamburg, 14 September 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

China: Inflation, growth and trade ...
Turkey: Q2 GDP growth and overheating concerns ...
Mozambique: Update ...
USA: New stimulus plan ...
Estonia: Q2 GDP growth remained strong ...

Hamburg, 7 September 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Brazil: GDP and interest rates ...
Syria: Oil embargo ...
Mauritania: Oil limits ...
Guatemala: Presidential elections ...
Philippines: Growth slowdown in Q2
Slovenia: Q2 GDP growth decelerates ...

Hamburg, 31 August 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Fed assessment ...
India: GDP growth slowing but still high ...
Poland: Growth remained firm in Q2 ...
Nigeria: Security issues ...
Peru: Growth and mining taxes ...
Malaysia: Q2 GDP growth and inflation ...
Ukraine: IMF programme ...

Hamburg, 24 August 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Weak data and financial volatility ...
Thailand: Q2 GDP growth and monetary policy ...
Libya: Potential regime change highlights challenges ...
Israel: Slowdown ...
Indonesia: Q2 GDP growth and inflation ...

Hamburg, 10 August 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Job gains but downgrade confirmed ...
China: Inflation ...
Turkey: Monetary policy ...
Egypt: Key trials begin ...
Argentina: Primary elections ...
India: Potential for leadership changes ...
Latvia: Q2 GDP growth gains momentum ...

Hamburg, 3 August 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Agreement to increase debt ceiling ...
China: Slowdown ...
Cyprus: Political stand-off ...
South Africa: Economy ...
Peru: New government ...
Bahrain: Further protests ...
Lithuania: Q2 GDP ...

Hamburg, 27 July 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Debt debate unresolved, housing gloomy ...
UK: Q2 GDP growth slows ...
Libya: Conflict resolution still some way off ...
Malawi: Protests ...
Panama: Country risk update ...
Syria: Concessions but violence continues ...
Moldova: Country risk update ...

Hamburg, 20 July 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Government uncertainties ...
Singapore: Sharp GDP growth deceleration ...
India: Growth slowing ...
Chile: Cabinet re-shuffle, interest rates on hold ...
Vietnam: Economic imbalances ...
Hungary: Weakening economic activity ...

Hamburg, 13 July 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Employment data ...
China: Q2 GDP ...
Egypt: Renewed protests ...
Kenya: Economic Update ...
Guatemala: Presidential elections ...
Malaysia: Political tension ...
Kazakhstan: Economic Update ...

Hamburg, 6 July 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Thailand: Election results ...
Turkey: GDP growth and overheating concerns ...
USA: Budget debate ...
Sudan: New country ...
Mexico: Elections ...
Lebanon: Tribunal findings ...
Ukraine: Economic update ...

Hamburg, 5 July 2011: New Country Reviews available

Bulgaria: 1 June 2011

Iceland: 8 June 2011

Romania: 23 May 2011

Argentina: 1 June 2011

Colombia: 3 May 2011

Kazakhstan: 16 May 2011

Mongolia: 6 April 2011

Hamburg, 29 June 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Fed strategy ...
Egypt: New approach ...
Argentina: Presidential elections ...
South Korea: Economic update ...
Romania: Turnaround to modest recovery ...
Croatia: Country grade is unchanged at B, but ...

Hamburg, 28 June 2011

Bulgaria: Upgraded from C to B

Hamburg, 28 June 2011

Colombia: Upgraded from B to BB

Hamburg, 22 June 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

India: Inflation and monetary policy ...
Taiwan: Elections ...
Morocco: Reforms ...
Venezuela: Presidential absence ...
Philippines: Monetary policy ...
Hungary: Q1 GDP and monetary policy ...

Hamburg, 15 June 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Retail sales and Fed policy ...
China: Inflation and monetary policy ...
Greece: Debt crisis ...
Turkey: Election results ...
Chile: Interest rates ...
Jordan: Political reform pledge ...
Czech Republic: Q1 real GDP ...

Hamburg, 8 June 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Gloomy data ...
Peru: Presidential election results ...
Yemen: Uncertain political and security outlook ...
Egypt: Economic update ...
Brazil: Q1 GDP and anti-poverty programme ...
Thailand: Q1 GDP growth and monetary policy ...
Slovakia: Q1 real GDP growth ...

Hamburg, 1 June 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

USA: Indicators disappoint ...
Poland: Q1 GDP retains momentum ...
India: GDP growth eases in Q1 ...
South Africa: Q1 GDP ...
Honduras: Normalisation step ...
Philippines: Q1 GDP growth moderates ...
Slovenia: Moderate deceleration in Q1 ...

Hamburg, 25 May 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

Japan: Q1 GDP contracts ...
Israel: Q1 GDP growth ...
Cyprus: Election results ...
Ghana: Strong growth ...
Mexico: GDP growth slows ...
Malaysia: Q1 GDP and inflation ...
Belarus: Devaluation ...

Hamburg, 18 May 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

US: Inflation and a possible tightening bias ...
Indonesia: Q1 GDP growth and inflation ...
Hong Kong: Q1 real GDP ...
South Africa: Inflation ...
Peru: Presidential election ...
India: Industrial output and inflation ...
Bulgaria: Export-dependent Q1 GDP growth ...

Hamburg, 11 May 2011 Weekly Export Risk Outlook

US: Employment outlook brightens ...
China: Latest indicators ...
Thailand: Early election ...
Ecuador: Referendum results ...
South Korea: Q1 GDP and April inflation ...
Latvia: Early indicators for 2011 ...

Hamburg, 4 May 2011: Weekly Export Risk Outlook

US: Positive data ...
India: Interest rates and inflation ...
Belarus: Currency crisis ...
Uganda: Protests ...
Ecuador: Referendum ...
Taiwan: Q1 real GDP ...
Lithuania: Q1 real GDP ...